Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000057 0.000064
2024-10-13 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000056 0.000068 0.000082
2024-10-20 0.000020 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000073 0.000094
2024-10-27 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000061 0.000081 0.000107
2024-11-03 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000086 0.000118
2024-11-10 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000133
2024-11-17 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000047 0.000070 0.000101 0.000147
2024-11-24 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000048 0.000073 0.000109 0.000162
2024-12-01 0.000010 0.000018 0.000029 0.000047 0.000074 0.000113 0.000172
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000117 0.000182
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000016 0.000027 0.000046 0.000077 0.000123 0.000195
2024-12-22 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000048 0.000081 0.000132 0.000213
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000048 0.000084 0.000139 0.000229
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000050 0.000088 0.000148 0.000249
2025-01-12 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000048 0.000088 0.000151 0.000257
2025-01-19 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000049 0.000090 0.000158 0.000274
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000048 0.000091 0.000162 0.000285
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000049 0.000095 0.000171 0.000306
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000050 0.000098 0.000180 0.000326
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000051 0.000101 0.000189 0.000346
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000023 0.000050 0.000102 0.000192 0.000358
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000102 0.000196 0.000369
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000050 0.000104 0.000203 0.000388